Ukraine-Russia War Dergest: Putin Ally Signals Plans to “Bluff” Trump; Mystery as Norwegian shipment with all-Russian equipment stopped to Baltic Sea cables

Soon we will return with more updates in Ukraine.

Before leaving, here is a review of what has happened in 24 hours beyond 24 hours:

In news similar to our previous article’s update, oil exports through a giant Russian port appear to have stopped, supporting Kyiv’s claims of a successful attack on a pumping station.

Bloomberg quoted a user knowing the deliveries that flow oil at UST-Luga fell to 0 on Wednesday.

The outlet added that the knowledge it had noticed showed an oil tanker leaving early that day, but that there is a hole in the shipping signals after that.

It said no reason had been provided for the apparent decline, and that there can be periods when ships do not load anyway.

If Ukrainian drone movements were shown to have broken the formula of the pipeline supplying UST-luga, causing a long break in expeditions, this may cause significant risk to the global oil market.

On Wednesday, he followed Ukraine that his drones had hit Andreapol’s pumping station in Russia in the Baltic Pipeline System-2, which feeds UST Luga, which leads to activities.

The Russian pipeline operator has still commented on the reports.

The fuel roof that is worth it through the EU, its Russian fuel crisis in 2022 will expire today, informing that the worst of the energy crisis in Europe has ended.  

The cap wasn’t triggered but it would have applied if gas prices surged to unusually high levels as the cost of energy skyrocketed, with Russia cutting gas supplies after invading Ukraine in February 2022.

The lid designed to activate if European Fuel Worths succeeds in € 180 consistent with Megawatt Hour, a point that the reference value has not been successful since the depths of the energy crisis in Europe in 2022, when it crowned € 300/MWh.

On a website, the commission said the ceiling value had not been introduced and did not want to expand, “Thanks to points such as falling structural demand, reliable impro imports and pipelines with trusted partners and a step forward import infrastructure. “

“Fortunately, we never went back to the scenario where we can know whether the tool is effective or not,” one EU diplomat said.

A little more now in the news that we before Russia, who claimed to have captured the Ukrainian village of Novovasylivka (see 9. 53 post).

The town is about 11 kilometers (seven miles) southwest of Pokrovsk, a key city in which Russia would lock down after months of effort.  

Although Sky News may not independently determine Russia’s statement to have taken the village, Battlefield Maps launched early today through Ukrainian general personnel reported that at least partly under Russian control.  

Russia continued a relentless crusade to take the eastern region of Donetsk.  

More major points have also emerged in reports of Russian forces being closer to the key city of Pokrovsk (see 9. 51 Post).

Ukraine’s General Staff have said troops had repelled 71 attacks by the Russian army toward Pokrovsk over the previous 24 hours, meaning almost half of Russia’s attacks along the entire 1,000-kilometer (600-mile) frontline occurred around Pokrovsk.

A Russian army command post in the Kursk region broke through missile and artillery forces, the Ukrainian military said.

Moscow’s forces have been trying to counter a Ukrainian incursion into the region since 6 August,  when Kyiv staged a surprise offensive over the border into Russia.

The Kremlin has brushed off a threat by Donald Trump to impose tariffs on the BRICS grouping of countries if it created its own currency.

Trump warned BRICS member countries to upgrade the U. S. dollar as a reserve currency by repeating a 100 percent risk from the price lists he had made after winning the November presidential election.

But Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said BRICS, of which Russia is a member, spoke of establishing its own currency, but only to create joint investment platforms.

“This is not the first time Trump makes such statements, it is not new,” he said.

“There have been statements like this before, back when he was just president-elect.

“The fact is that BRICS talks about creating a non -unusual currency, and has never done so. BRICS talks about the creation of new joint investment platforms that would allow joint investments in 3rd countries, mutual investments, etc.

And in what can be noticed as a finely veiled ridiculous of the reach of Trump’s foreign affairs, he added: “All probability, American experts probably want the BRIC time table in more detail for Mr. Trump. “

The Kremlin in December said that any American to force countries to use the dollar is changing, after Trump had the same opposite risk to the BRICS.

Hungary’s Viktor Orban has threatened not to approve the next round of sanctions against Russia if Brussels doesn’t help get the flow of Russian gas through Ukraine restored.

“This Ukraine is not willing to leave the Russian fuel through its territory so that it can succeed in Central Europe, and with that, the value of Fuelarray increases . . . it is unacceptable,” said the state -of -the -art minister.

The transit of Russian gas to central Europe via Ukraine was halted on 1 January. 

Gas exports stopped when a public shipping agreement expired and Kyiv refused to negotiate a new one that repels “the operation of the special army” of Russia, which has been in disaster since February 24, 2022.

A key to the Declaration on the War in Ukraine over the past few months has been the clients of a possible peace agreement in the wake of the election of Donald Trump.  

Although the new US president does not have it, as he advised, he finished the shock in the “first day” of his return to the White House, it was widely advised that his leadership will significantly modify his dynamic, even if only through a really a really a really Extensive curtain withdrawal for kyiv.

In turn, the last weeks have noticed a Moscow signaling wave about the Kremlin position in the negotiations.

In this regard, an interview published through the Russian state news firm Tass with Fyodor Lukyanov, director of studies at the Valdai Discussion Club, a foreign forum where Russian and foreign officials and academics meet to talk about global issues.

Lukyanov has continuously moderated Putin’s annual address to Valdai and is a well-connected voice and authority on the Kremlin’s goals, according to the first group of images reflected, the Institute for the Study of War.

It depends on the primary agreements is the name of the interview, which highlights the unsuccessful efforts of the Kremlin to shape national and global expectations with respect to long -term negotiations between Putin and Trump.

“Tass’s resolution to take the merit of Lukyanov’s interview to mitigate national speculation on the option of a long -term peace agreement also highlights the relevance of this interview and Lukyanov’s statements when considering the imaginable negotiation positions of Russia against Vis Ukraine and the United States, the United States, “according to ISW analysts.

Lukyanov states in the interview that the “main thing” for future peace negotiations regarding Ukraine is “not the territories” but addressing the “root causes” of the war, which Lukyanov defined as NATO’s expansion into Eastern Europe in the 1990s and early 2000s.

To argue that the Ukrainian lands are currently through the Russian forces, he said that “with the territories, everything is clear: how much is yours”, which suggests that Isw gives an additional indication that the Kremlin has no goal of committing to its Territorial gains in Ukraine in Ukraine. Ukraine in Ukraine in Ukraine in Ukraine in Ukraine in Ukraine in long -term peace negotiations.

“This publication suggests that Kremlin probably means that long -term peace negotiations with Trump began with the United States that detect the territorial statements of Russia to Ukraine, adding more spaces that Russia does not recently occupy, before the real negotiations can begin to concentrate on those that concentrate on those in addition, the ‘root causes’ well covered, “analysts say.

Lukyanov states that the main request of Russia for long -term peace negotiations with Trump is “a replacement in the security panorama in Eastern Europe” and “abandonment [of] a safe number of provisions on which the ‘are founded’ Life and functioning styles of NATO “, adding that Russia possibly also needs to need to talk about the option of” cutting the presence point of the army [NATO] “.

As noted by ISW, Putin published a series of requests in the United States in December 2021 ahead of his full-scale invasion of Ukraine, adding that NATO is committed not to settle for Ukraine or any other country as new members, as well as other measures that would restrict NATO activities in the region.

“Lukyanov’s statements assume that Trump and his management are weak and most likely they are intimidated through Kremlin force exhibitions that former management [President Joe] Biden,” ISW analysts said.

Lukyanov writes that Trump needs to “download all additional problems” with respect to Ukraine in Europe and “respect” European states or NATO in general.

It suggests that Trump will leave Ukraine and NATO.

“Trump only respects those who show steadfastness,” Lukyanov says, while calling on the Kremlin to “never give in” and “to be prepared for a fairly tough conversation, even including elements of [a] bluff.”

ISW concludes: “Lukyanov’s interview supports the non-stop efforts of the Kremlin to force Trump to acquiesce the necessities of Putin which to the complete capitulation of Ukraine and the weakening of non-public efforts of NATO and Putin for Position yourself as Trump’s equality on the foreign scene. “

The Ukrainian president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, has condemned an attack by Russian drones in Sumy that killed nine other people when he hit a multi -story construction.

A thirteen-person general, adding a child, was injured when construction hit.

“Hex according to the time, we receive updates to In Sumy.  

“The paintings at the site of the have an effect of a Russian ‘Shahed’ (drone) being carried out,” Zelenskyy said in his nightly video on Thursday.

“This has become a hallmark of Russian actions – destroying the lives of many families of an entire building. 

“Every such strike needs an answer from the world,” he said.

“Terror cannot be left unpunished.”

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