Russia has destroyed a plan presented through the team of the president of the United States, Donald Trump, to finish the Russian-Ukraine War through the kyiv NATO Club in exchange for a high fire, according to Russian state media .
Trump’s victory in the November presidential elections, his repeated complaint of Ukraine and US investment for kyiv, and his promise to finish the war within a day once in power, have raised considerations among NATO’s allies about The commitments that Ukraine requires.
But the Kremlin’s rejection of what would be the key to the Trump team’s proposal for a truce underscores warnings from some analysts who warned in opposition to assuming that Russia is necessarily guaranteed an end to the war on its terms.
So what is Trump’s peace proposal in Ukraine, what has Russia rejected and why?
Trump was careful not to reveal much about his plan. “I can’t give you those plans because if I give you those plans, I’m not going to use them. They will fail. Part of their surprise,” Trump said in an interview with the Podcast with Lex Fridman in September.
On the trail of the crusade, Trump made promises to end the Ukraine War within 24 hours. However, on Dec. 12, he told Time Mag that “the Middle East is a less difficult challenge to handle than it is with Russia and Ukraine. “
Trump and his key aides have floated some ideas for a truce in Ukraine. Here is what we know:
At his annual press interaction on December 26, Russian President Vladimir Putin rejected the idea that a deferral in Ukraine’s membership of NATO would be satisfactory enough for Moscow.
Putin said that although he did not know the main points of the Trump Plan, the existing president, Joe Biden, made a similar suggestion in 2021, to retain the admission of Ukraine for 10 to 15 years. “In terms of ancient distances and deadlines, this It is a moment in a moment.
Then, on Sunday, the Russian press firm Tass cited the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Sergey Lavrov, twice the rejection through Putin of some of Trump’s proposals in Ukraine.
“We are not happy with the proposals made through representatives of the president’s team chosen to postpone the members of Ukraine to NATO for 20 years and to display a contingent of the maintenance of the peace of the” British and European forces “in Ukraine” He told Tass to Lavrov.
Lavrov added that Russia has not yet won “United States officers” on the “Ukraine settlement. ” The Russian diplomat explained that until the inauguration of Trump in Washington on January 20, only the outgoing Biden management allowed discussion with Moscow.
Meanwhile, on Thursday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said Moscow was open to peace talks with Ukraine hosted in Slovakia. Putin hosted Slovakian Prime Minister Robert Fico in the Kremlin this week. Fico has been sceptical of the European Union’s military support for Ukraine.
“Putin Bluffing, he is an agreement,” said Timothy Ash, a member associated in the Russia and Eurasia program in Chatham House, a group of London -based experts.
Ash told Al Jazeera that Putin would “play hardball at the head of the talks to reject everything,” but “wants a deal because he can’t sustain a long war given the mass casualties. “And if Trump offers Putin a deal so Russia may well remain on Ukrainian territory it recently controls, as Vance advised the offer would be, Moscow, Ash said, would likely agree.
“Trump is in a strong position, Putin is in a weak position,” Ash said. “Trump can sustain a long war as the US wins from huge defence sales with zero US casualties. Let’s hope Trump realises this.”
Trump met Zelenskyy and French president Emmanuel Macron on December 7 in Paris. After the trilateral meeting, Trump told the New York Post that Zelenskyy looked after a fire. “You need to make peace. We have not talked about details,” he added.
Ukraine had in the past under pressure that any peace agreement will have to involve the Russian annex of Ukrainian territory, adding Crimea, which was annexed in 2014.
However, in an interview with Sky News published on November 29, Zelenskyy shifted his stance. “If we want to stop the hot phase of the war, we need to take under the NATO umbrella the territory of Ukraine that we have under our control,” he said. “We need to do it fast. And then on the [occupied] territory of Ukraine, Ukraine can get them back in a diplomatic way.”
“This is a primary commitment through Zelenskyy on the ground,” Ash told Al Jazeera at the time.
While NATO members are confident that Ukraine is in an “irreversible” trail to join the alliance, distrust Ukrainian admit, while he is still at war with Russia. In fact, the NATO treaty includes a mutual defense clause, decreeing that all members are attacked if a member is attacked.
Russia rejected a commitment at the NATO club, which Ukraine obtains, but only two decades later, it is transparent how kyiv and Moscow can return to the negotiating table. NATO membership is the centerpiece of what Zelenskyy leads as his peace plan.
But according to Ash, Zelenskyy can also be able to commit to NATO membership. This Zelensky would not commit, said Ash, this is the Ukraine security factor.
“Ukraine has to be assured that under any deal Putin cannot just invade again,” Ash said. “That means either bilateral security guarantees from the West or cast iron assurances that they will give Ukraine all the tools needed to defend themselves — rather like Israel or South Korea.”
Meanwhile, in the midst of warmth between Putin and Fico in Moscow last week, Zelenskyy hit the Slovak government. On Saturday, he accused Fico of opening a “second front of power” opposite to kyiv by the orders of Moscow. Russian fuel becomes Ukraine in Slovakia, Moldova and Hungary as a component of an agreement that expires at the end of this year.
Fico, after his stop at Putin, said Slovakia would oppose kyiv if he cuts fuel transfers on January 1, 2025.