How safe is it on a plane? The new MIT studies provide an answer

The concern of flying is not very unusual, according to 40% of other people suffer, according to studies cited at borders in psychology. Viral Videos of extreme turbulence tiktok, the Boeing incident of Boeing outdoo , of course, it can, of course. A building in Aviophobia (or the concern of flying) among travelers.

But how sure is on a plane?

A team of researchers from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology says that global air continues to be safer, and the threat of dying from advertising air is 1 in 13. 7 million international passenger edges in 2018 to 2022. The death threat has Decreased from 1 to 7. 9 million approaches in 2008-2017 and a main fall of 1 in 350,000 forums from 1968 to 1977, according to the new article published this month in the Journal of Air Transport Management.

“You might think that there is an irreducible threat point that we cannot get underneath,” said Arnold Barnett, a main former holder in protection and airplanes that the Oconsistant and co -author of the investigation. “And yet, the possibilities of dying on an air vacation continue to fall around 7% consisting of the year, and continue to decrease a two thing every decades. “

For the study, researchers used data from the Flight Safety Foundation, the World Bank, and the International Air Transport Association. The team addresses COVID’s impact on airplane safety, noting that between March 2020 and December 2022, approximately 4,760 deaths around the world were linked to COVID-19 transmission on airplanes.

The researchers explain that this trend in safer flights can be understood through “Moore’s Law,” which is that innovators locate tactics to double the calculation strength of fleas, both one and both 18 months approximately. However, in this case, it underscores to the MIT team that advertising travel has become nearly twice as safe over the two decades since the late 1960s.

Air is a safe way of Toarray, especially in the United States. The last turn of the destination of the US airline took its position in February 2009, when Air Flight 3407 crashed near Buffalo, New York and killed another 49 people on board, it was as a user on the ground. In comparison, only about 41,000 people died in car accidents in 2023, according to the National Road Traffic Safety Administration.

Here’s the number of passenger boarding deaths in the periods of advertising air flights between 1968 and 2022, based on knowledge analyzed through the MIT researchers:

1968-1977: 1 for 350,000

1978-1987: 1 by 750,000

1988-1997: 1 to 1. 3 million

1998-2007: 1 to 2. 7 million

2007-2017: 1 for 7. 9 million

2018-2022: 1 for 13. 7 million

The examination under pressure that there are disparities with respect to the security of traveling in airplanes, which means that it is safer to fly in safe parts of the global than others.

Researchers organized countries into three tiers based on their aviation safety records.

High -level air security countries come with the United States, the European Union and other European states, adding Montenegro, Norway, Switzerland and the United Kingdom, as well as Australia, Canada, China, Israel, Japan and New Zealand.

Second-tier countries include: Bahrain, Bosnia, Brazil, Brunei, Chile, Hong Kong (which has been separated from mainland China in aviation security regulations), India, Jordan, Kuwait, Malaysia, Mexico, Philippines, Qatar, Singapore, South, South, South, South, South, South, South Africa, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Turkey and the United Arab Emirates. On each of those two nations teams, the threat of 2018-22 embarkation fatalities was about 1 in 80 million, according to the study.

The third group consists of every country in the world, and there were 36.5 times as many fatalities per passenger boarding in 2018-2022 than was the case in the top tier, but air travel fatalities per boarding were still reduced in half during the 2018-2022 time period.

The MIT Examine ranked individual airlines for safety.

Earlier this year, a rating (note: not an educational study) of AirLineracts. com, A to review safety and product rating, placed Air New Zealand as the top airline for safety.

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