Former President Donald Trump is officially running for another presidential term. And major sites expect Trump to have the best chance of winning the 2024 presidential election.
While it is illegal to bet on political elections in the United States, the European shows Trump in EmpireStakes. com with an “implied probability” of 25% of winning the next presidential election, compared to 18. 2% for President Joe Biden. They have remained solid since last year with odds of 3 to 1. On the other hand, Biden’s chances rose from 5 to 1 to 6 to 1.
After many hypotheses that he would make a third nomination for the White House, Trump made his announcement for the Republican nomination for 2024 on Tuesday.
On the eve of Election Day, Trump warned he would wait until Nov. 15 to launch his 2024 campaign and said he was not seeking “anything that detracts from the importance” of the midterm elections.
Trump had sparked a 2024 bid since leaving last year, hinting that he will most likely seek the Republican nomination and rack up a record of successful approval this year.
“I ran twice. I won twice and I did much better in the moment than in the first, I got millions more votes in 2020 than in 2016,” Trump said at a rally in Iowa on Nov. 3. “Now, to make our country prosperous and glorious, I will do it very, very, to the maximum, to the maximum, probably to the fullest, probably do it again. “
Although there was no official announcement until this week, Republican strategist Jay Townsend told Newsweek ahead of the official offer that “the only thing that would surprise anyone would be if Trump didn’t show up. “
“His ego was badly hurt by his [2020] loss to [Joe] Biden,” Townsend said. “In his opinion, the only way to fix this is to get it back so he can get revenge on those who wronged him. “
Many hoped that Trump’s announcement would come sometime after the Nov. 8 midpoint so he could beat the Justice Department (DOJ) in the small window in which federal prosecutors would have to file an indictment against him.
While Attorney General Merrick Garland may still bring opposing charges against the former president as part of the investigation into the confidential files Trump allegedly brought to Mar-a-Lago after leaving the White House, it will now be difficult for the Justice Department to execute such a statement. Move without it seeming like a politically motivated attack to prevent Trump from running for president again.
Since leaving office just two years ago, Trump has maintained significant influence over the Republican Party and its base. While the former president’s approved candidates would likely have won their representation battles against the Republican status quo in the primaries, the midterm effects suggest that Trump may also simply paint against GOP candidates in a general election. Last week, several of Trump’s picks failed to win their races, prompting the GOP to turn away from Trump, as many blamed him for the party’s poor functionality across the country.
Trump also remained at the top of the list in the hypothetical list of Republican candidates for 2024. The only Republican who seemed to launch a real challenge against him is Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who is now doing better than Trump in the polls. . DeSantis has not announced a bid for 2024.
In a Nov. 10 update, EmpireStakes. com said DeSantis has risen to the most sensible of 2024 presidential chances since he was re-elected last week. Compared to Trump’s implied probability of 25%, DeSantis is even more likely at 30. 8%.
An early announcement through Trump will also likely prevent other Republican contenders from jumping into the ring, knowing they would have to oppose him. DeSantis has remained silent about his White House aspirations.
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