THE FIRST HUNDRED DAYS: Today marks the hundredth day since Russian forces entered Ukraine as part of a so-called “special operation” ordered by Russian President Vladimir Putin. In the early months, things went dramatically wrong for the invading forces, which were misdirected, poorly funded and thwarted in almost each and every turn through a Ukrainian army formed in our minds provided through the West.
But a hundred days later, by sheer brute force, he concentrated the Russian artillery shelling complex in the eastern Donbass region of Ukraine, while destroying cities and expelling as much as possible the civilian population.
“To date, about 20% of our territory is under the control of the occupiers. Almost 12,5000 square kilometers [48,000 square miles],” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in a speech to Luxembourg’s parliament. “About 300,000 square kilometers. ” [11cinco,000 square miles] are dotted with mines and unexploded ordnance. Nearly 12 million Ukrainians have become internally displaced. More than five million, mostly women and children, have gone abroad.
“The setting in Donbass hasn’t particularly changed in one day,” Zenensky said later in his late-night video speech. “We had good luck in the battles of Severodonetsk. But it is too early to say. the moment. . . Many villages are facing a harsh Russian attack.
ZELENSKY: 60-100 UKRAINIAN SOLDIERS KILLED AND 500 WOUNDED PER DAY IN DONBAS
RUSSIA ‘ACHIEVES TACTICAL SUCCESS’: The British Ministry of Defence’s latest intelligence update notes that after the failure of its initial plan to capture Kyiv and install a puppet government, Russia’s reduced goal of taking the eastern border region has some successes still at a higher cost.
“Russia is now having a good tactical fortune in the Donbass. Russian forces have generated and maintained momentum and lately seem to have the initiative over the Ukrainian opposition. Russia owns more than 90% of Luhansk Oblast and is expected to complete it in the next two weeks,” the Twitter update read. “Russia owns more than 90 percent of Luhansk Oblast and is expected to complete it in the next two weeks. fireplace in a single component of the overall campaign.
The Washington-based Institute for the Study of War describes Russian progress in Ukraine as “incremental, overwhelming and costly. “
“Russian troops continued their operations to capture Severodonetsk and other operations to capture Lysychansk,” ISW said. “Russian army leaders will probably use the capture of those two villages to claim that they ‘liberated’ the entire Luhansk Oblast before turning to Donetsk. “Oblast, however, Russian forces will have the forces to take a very extensive territory in Donetsk Oblast after suffering additional losses around Severodonetsk.
PUTIN FOCUSES FIVE GENERALS ON LATEST PURGE OF TOP RUSSIAN COMMANDERS: REPORT
STOLTENBERG: ‘WE NEED TO BE PREPARED FOR THE LONG TERM’: After meeting with President Joe Biden at the White House yesterday, NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg told reporters he doesn’t expect the war in Ukraine to end anytime soon.
“Wars are inherently unpredictable, so we just have to prepare for the long term, because what we see is that this war now has a war of attrition, where Ukrainians pay maximum value to protect their own country on the battlefield, but we also see that Russia is suffering a lot of losses. ” Stoltenberg said in the hallway of the White House.
“Most wars, too, the maximum probably this war, will end at some point at the negotiating table, but what we do know is that what happens around the negotiating table is very similar to the scenario on the ground, on the battlefield. “
Stoltenberg rejected the concept of pressuring Ukraine to exchange land for peace with Russia. “It’s not up to us to decide, or have strong opinions, on what Ukraine accepts or doesn’t accept. “
‘HEINOUS WAR CRIME’: ZELENSKY SAYS RUSSIAN FORCES ‘STEAL’ CHILDREN FROM UKRAINE
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EXTENSION OF THE TREVE IN YEMEN: The United Nations announced that a precarious truce in the war in Yemen that began on April 2 has been extended for another two months under an agreement between the warring parties.
The ceasefire between Yemen’s identified government around the world and Iranian-backed Houthi rebels comes after six years of war.
“The extension of the truce in the standoff in Yemen represents an encouraging step in efforts to build a more lasting peace in the region and end the standoff that has caused one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises,” said House Armed Forces Speaker Adam. . Smith (D-WA) in a statement.
“The fact that the parties abide by the terms of the April ceasefire and then agree to its extension demonstrates the effectiveness of the Biden-Harris administration’s diplomatic technique first, the important role of the United Nations as a reliable mediator, and the importance of all. involvement of the parties in forging a lasting peace in Yemen,” Smith said.
THE LATEST IRAN NUCLEAR DEAL: Moribund negotiations in Vienna to revive the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran are now at one of the original sticking points, Tehran is not easy to guarantee that no long-term president will break the deal, as President Donald Trump did in 2018.
“Iran’s Foreign Minister Hossein Amir-Abdollahian again pressed his considerations on the lack of guarantee that long-term administrations would respect an agreement,” according to an investigation by the Jewish Institute for National Security of America. “Iran has insisted that the White House devotes long-term administrations to a nuclear deal, but the United States is not in a position to offer that guarantee, which it has communicated to Tehran. “
Iran is now resigned to the fact that Biden’s management will not give in to one of its main demands that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps be removed from the list of terrorist organizations.
Meanwhile, JINSA notes that “bipartisan congressional opposition to the upcoming Iran nuclear deal continues to mount” and that the Israeli Air Force has conducted simulated strikes on nuclear facilities in Iran, dubbed “Chariots of Fire. “
Officials have not visited Vienna, the site of the talks, since the eighth circular of talks was suspended indefinitely on March 7.
MORE REPORTS ON THE WEAKENING OF RUSSIAN MORALE: The most recent report from the Institute for the Study of War includes a segment detailing anecdotes from the Ukrainian front showing a Russian army torn apart by dissension and lack of discipline.
“The 113th Regiment of the DNR [Donetsk People’s Republic] published on June 2 a video call to Russian President Vladimir Putin, in which forcibly mobilized infantrymen complain that they spent the entire war on the front line on Kherson’s food or medicine,” isW reports. said. ” Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate also published an intercepted telephone verbal exchange in which DNR infantrymen also complained that physically unworthy people were forced to serve and that mobilized groups are experiencing great drunkenness and general disorder. “
“Russian forces are also struggling to effectively rotate infantrymen in and out of combat. The spokesman for the Odessa army leadership, Maksym Marchenko, said that between 30 and 40 percent of the Russian workers’ corps that left Ukraine refused to return, forcing Russian commanders to send backsliding without preparation or motivation. in combat
The overall conclusion: “Russian forced mobilization is very important to generate a significant fighting force and will exacerbate low morale and lack of field in Russian and support units.
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FRIDAY, | JUNE 3
9:00 a. m. — U. S. Institute of Peace Virtual Discussion”Preventing Mass Atrocities in Afghanistan: How the United States and the International Community Can Protect Hazaras and Other Vulnerable Afghans,” with State Department Special Envoy for Afghan Women, Girls, and Human Rights, Rina Amiri; Farkhondeh Akbari, postdoctoral fellow at the Centre for Gender, Peace and Security at Monash University; Lauren Baillie, Senior Program Officer for Atrocity Prevention at USIP; Shukria Dellawar, Legislative and Policy Officer for the Prevention of Violent Conflict in the Friends Committee on National Legislation; Naomi Kikoler, director of the Holocaust Memorial Museum at the U. S. Center for the Prevention of Genocide. https://www. usip. org/events/preventing-mass-atrocities-afghanistan
TUESDAY, | JUNE 7
TBA – Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin departs for Singapore and Bangkok, Thailand, Singapore Austin will participate in the 19th “Shangri-La Dialogue” of the International Institute for Strategic Studies. https://www. defense. gov/News/Advisories
WEDNESDAY | JUNE 8
10:00 a. m. – Marks of the Armed Services Subcommittee of the House of H. R. 7900, the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2023.
10 a. m. — Subcommittee on Cybernetics, Innovative Technologies and Information Systems
12:00 pm. — Subcommittee on Strategic Forces
14:00 — Subcommittee on Maritime Power and Projection Forces
3:30 p. m. — Subcommittee on Military Personnel
http://www. serviciosarmados. house. gov
10:2172 Rayburn — House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee Hearing on Asia, the Pacific, Central Asia, and Nonproliferation: “U. S. PrioritiesU. S. in the Indo-Pacific Fiscal Year 2023 budget. “http://foreignaffairs. house. gov
12:00 pm. U. S. Army Association Noon Report WebinarU. S. Navy: “Washington’s War: Leadership Lessons for a Modern Army,” with retired Lt. Gen. James Dubik, AUSA principal investigator https://info. ausa. org/e/784783/G-James-dubik
THURSDAY | JUNE 9
8:30 a. m. 9:18 p. m. Rayburn – House Armed Services Subcommittee Marks of H. R. 7900, the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2023.
8:30 a. m. — Air and Ground Force Tactical Subcommittee
9:30 a. m. — Subcommittee on Intelligence and Special Operations
10:30 a. m. — Subcommittee on Preparation
http://www. serviciosarmados. house. gov
WEDNESDAY | JUNE 22
10:00 a. m. 2118 Rayburn – House Armed Services Committee, full review of the H. R. 7900 committee, the National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2023. http://www. armedservices. house. gov
TUESDAY, | JULY 19
Aspen Meadows Resort, Colorado – Aspen Strategy Group Three-Day Aspen Safety Forum (19-22) with Air Force Chief of Staff Charles Q. Brown; former Secretary of Defense Robert Gates; Army Gen. Richard Clarke, Commander of U. S. Special Operations CommandUSA; Senator Mark Warner, D-Va. ; former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice; Kay Bailey Hutchison, former U. S. ambassador to NATO; and others. https://www. aspensecurityforum. org
President Joe Biden, in a speech Thursday, called on Congress at the age at which Americans can legally purchase semi-automatic rifles ages 18 to 21.